Sharp Decoupling Inequalities for the Variances and Second Moments of Sums of Dependent Random Variables

math.PR arXiv:2512.19063
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Abstract

Both complete decoupling and tangent decoupling are classical tools aiming to compare two random processes where one has a weaker dependence structure. We give a new proof for the complete decoupling inequality, which provides a lower bound for the sum of dependent square-integrable nonnegative random variables $\sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i$ \[ \frac{1}{2} \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} z_i \right)^2 \leq \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i \right)^2, \] where $z_i \stackrel{\mathcal{L}}{=} d_i$ for all $i\leq n$ and $z_i$'s are mutually independent. We will then provide the following sharp tangent decoupling inequalities \[\mathbb Var \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i\right) \leq 2 \mathbb Var \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right),\] and \[\mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} d_i\right)^2 \leq 2 \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right)^2 - \left[ \mathbb E \left( \sum\limits^n_{i=1} e_i\right) \right]^2,\] where $\{e_i\}$ is the decoupled sequences of $\{d_i\}$ and $d_i$'s are not forced to be nonnegative. Applications to construct Chebyshev-type inequality and Paley-Zygmund-type inequality, and to bound the second moments of randomly stopped sums will be provided.

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