{"ID":2850865,"CreatedAt":"2026-06-01T04:54:23.091178241Z","UpdatedAt":"2026-06-01T04:54:23.091178241Z","DeletedAt":null,"paper_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22034","arxiv_id":"2510.22034","title":"LLM-AR: LLM-powered Automated Reasoning Framework","abstract":"Large language models (LLMs) can already identify patterns and reason effectively, yet their variable accuracy hampers adoption in high-stakes decision-making applications. In this paper, we study this issue from a venture capital perspective by predicting idea-stage startup success based on founder traits. (i) To build a reliable prediction model, we introduce LLM-AR, a pipeline inspired by neural-symbolic systems that distils LLM-generated heuristics into probabilistic rules executed by the ProbLog automated-reasoning engine. (ii) An iterative policy-evolution loop incorporates association-rule mining to progressively refine the prediction rules. On unseen folds, LLM-AR achieves 59.5% precision and 8.7% recall, 5.9x the random baseline precision, while exposing every decision path for human inspection. The framework is interpretable and tunable via hyperparameters, showing promise to extend into other domains.","short_abstract":"Large language models (LLMs) can already identify patterns and reason effectively, yet their variable accuracy hampers adoption in high-stakes decision-making applications. In this paper, we study this issue from a venture capital perspective by predicting idea-stage startup success based on founder traits. (i) To buil...","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22034","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.22034v1","authors":"[\"Rick Chen\",\"Joseph Ternasky\",\"Aaron Ontoyin Yin\",\"Xianling Mu\",\"Fuat Alican\",\"Yigit Ihlamur\"]","published":"2025-10-24T21:36:18Z","proceeding":"cs.AI","tasks":"[\"cs.AI\",\"cs.LG\"]","methods":"[\"Large Language Model\",\"Language Model\"]","has_code":false}
