{"ID":2828136,"CreatedAt":"2026-06-01T04:54:23.091178241Z","UpdatedAt":"2026-06-01T04:54:23.091178241Z","DeletedAt":null,"paper_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19738","arxiv_id":"2512.19738","title":"OpComm: A Reinforcement Learning Framework for Adaptive Buffer Control in Warehouse Volume Forecasting","abstract":"Accurate forecasting of package volumes at delivery stations is critical for last-mile logistics, where errors lead to inefficient resource allocation, higher costs, and delivery delays. We propose OpComm, a forecasting and decision-support framework that combines supervised learning with reinforcement learning-based buffer control and a generative AI-driven communication module. A LightGBM regression model generates station-level demand forecasts, which serve as context for a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent that selects buffer levels from a discrete action set. The reward function penalizes under-buffering more heavily than over-buffering, reflecting real-world trade-offs between unmet demand risks and resource inefficiency. Station outcomes are fed back through a Monte Carlo update mechanism, enabling continual policy adaptation. To enhance interpretability, a generative AI layer produces executive-level summaries and scenario analyses grounded in SHAP-based feature attributions. Across 400+ stations, OpComm reduced Weighted Absolute Percentage Error (WAPE) by 21.65% compared to manual forecasts, while lowering under-buffering incidents and improving transparency for decision-makers. This work shows how contextual reinforcement learning, coupled with predictive modeling, can address operational forecasting challenges and bridge statistical rigor with practical decision-making in high-stakes logistics environments.","short_abstract":"Accurate forecasting of package volumes at delivery stations is critical for last-mile logistics, where errors lead to inefficient resource allocation, higher costs, and delivery delays. We propose OpComm, a forecasting and decision-support framework that combines supervised learning with reinforcement learning-based b...","url_abs":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19738","url_pdf":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.19738v1","authors":"[\"Wilson Fung\",\"Lu Guo\",\"Drake Hilliard\",\"Alessandro Casadei\",\"Raj Ratan\",\"Sreyoshi Bhaduri\",\"Adi Surve\",\"Nikhil Agarwal\",\"Rohit Malshe\",\"Pavan Mullapudi\",\"Hungjen Wang\",\"Saurabh Doodhwala\",\"Ankush Pole\",\"Arkajit Rakshit\"]","published":"2025-12-17T17:21:19Z","proceeding":"cs.LG","tasks":"[\"cs.LG\"]","methods":"[\"Reinforcement Learning\"]","has_code":false}